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Red59
47077.3
238329.0
528312.6
Blue43
672214.9
721612.2
715219.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49460204060801005943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
25.726.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End9.1
red by 9.9
7152
#36
19.10.1
18.318.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End6.4
Second
5283
#29
12.60.5
8.38.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.0
blue by 2.3
6722
#34
14.90.1
12.612.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Third
4707
#64
7.30.7
12.613.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 4.9
7216
#63
12.20.1
13.012.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed