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Red84
710711.8
668511.1
17933.6
Blue59
18030.7
740313.4
242514.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455010203040607080908459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
33.60.9
23.224.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.4
End7.1
red by 2.9
180
#8
30.70.9
25.526.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
Second
7107
#12
11.81.0
9.610.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 2.2
2425
#41
14.01.3
11.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
6685
#44
11.11.3
9.811.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 2.3
7403
#38
13.41.3
10.712.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned