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Red59
519610.7
38628.6
641515.0
Blue48
125115.0
740313.4
152319.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53431020306070805948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#4
28.60.0
26.626.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 9.2
1523
#39
19.50.6
15.616.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End4.0
Second
6415
#30
15.00.1
14.814.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End4.5
Level
1251
#23
15.00.6
12.913.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Third
5196
#15
10.70.1
9.29.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End3.6
blue by 2.7
7403
#38
13.40.8
12.012.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsEarned