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Red39
715219.1
743115.3
566515.1
Blue83
106516.9
17933.6
519610.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454404550606570753983

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7152
#36
19.10.8
18.717.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End6.4
blue by 14.5
179
#1
33.60.7
26.026.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Second
7431
#14
15.30.8
17.016.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End4.4
blue by 1.5
1065
#40
16.90.7
15.816.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Third
5665
#47
15.10.8
15.815.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 4.4
5196
#15
10.71.2
9.210.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned