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Red59
18030.7
152319.5
74876.4
Blue57
750018.9
136923.9
406516.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454455055605957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
30.70.3
26.827.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
red by 6.8
1369
#10
23.90.4
19.520.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End6.0
Second
1523
#39
19.50.3
16.116.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 0.6
7500
#32
18.90.4
16.516.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Third
7487
#59
6.40.6
8.18.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 10.2
4065
#58
16.60.4
14.815.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed