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Red46
406516.6
316413.0
740811.1
Blue55
740313.4
594921.7
7915.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060804655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4065
#58
16.60.4
14.914.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
blue by 5.1
5949
#13
21.70.5
20.220.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
3164
#20
13.00.4
12.812.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
blue by 2.4
79
#57
15.50.5
14.314.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
7408
#42
11.10.7
9.38.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End3.0
blue by 2.3
7403
#38
13.40.8
13.013.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed