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Red23
74876.4
125115.0
668511.1
Blue39
751912.8
743115.3
721612.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060802339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#23
15.00.9
16.015.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End5.4
blue by 0.3
7431
#14
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End4.4
Second
6685
#44
11.11.4
12.411.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 1.7
7519
#26
12.80.6
13.412.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Third
7487
#59
6.41.3
7.76.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 5.8
7216
#63
12.20.6
12.812.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed