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Red43
740313.4
447111.0
541012.2
Blue61
159216.0
740914.8
238329.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376120804361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7403
#38
13.40.8
12.613.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.2
blue by 15.6
29.00.2
27.928.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End9.1
Second
5410
#54
12.20.6
11.712.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End3.6
blue by 3.8
1592
#16
16.00.2
15.816.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.9
Third
4471
#55
11.00.6
10.511.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 3.7
7409
#17
14.80.2
14.614.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned