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Red56
32429.5
215225.8
547221.3
Blue61
152319.5
710711.8
594921.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615430405070805661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2152
#19
25.80.3
26.326.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End8.4
red by 4.1
5949
#13
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
21.30.3
21.821.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 1.8
1523
#39
19.50.7
19.219.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End4.0
Third
3242
#45
9.50.3
9.89.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 2.3
7107
#12
11.80.7
10.711.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed