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Red32
485521.8
77945.1
99987.6
Blue37
716019.0
609716.1
495617.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4363020801003237

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.6
22.822.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 2.8
7160
#16
19.01.5
21.720.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End4.4
Second
9998
#18
7.60.6
10.610.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 10.2
4956
#13
17.81.5
20.719.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End3.5
Third
7794
#14
5.10.6
7.16.5
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End0.9
blue by 11.0
16.11.5
16.915.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed