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Red38
360314.5
56228.1
518310.5
Blue27
99987.6
592620.6
600513.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364602060801003827

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#12
14.50.4
14.414.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 6.1
20.61.1
21.820.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End8.8
Second
5183
#10
10.50.4
11.411.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 2.6
6005
#15
13.01.1
12.411.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
5622
#19
8.10.4
8.68.1
Auto5.2
Teleop0.7
End2.1
red by 0.5
9998
#18
7.61.1
9.58.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned