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Red35
610016.3
99987.6
360314.5
Blue65
508427.9
544811.4
592620.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56662040801003565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.31.2
19.918.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End8.2
blue by 11.5
27.90.2
26.426.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End9.2
Second
3603
#12
14.51.2
16.915.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 6.1
20.60.2
23.223.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End8.8
Third
9998
#18
7.61.2
15.914.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 3.8
5448
#11
11.40.2
12.712.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsEarned