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Red54
614418.9
181721.6
770814.4
Blue75
300527.8
458727.5
690121.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598220401005475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#4DQ
21.60.1
22.822.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End8.3
blue by 6.2
3005
#18
27.80.1
28.228.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
6144
#37
18.90.1
19.119.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End10.3
blue by 8.5
27.50.1
27.627.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End7.7
Third
7708
#50
14.40.1
13.713.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 7.4
6901
#38
21.80.1
21.521.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsEarned