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Red78
752131.9
348119.9
419219.1
Blue82
637728.7
11832.9
383413.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7382405060901001107882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.4
30.931.2
Auto5.4
Teleop20.1
End6.5
blue by 1.0
118
#2
32.90.3
35.635.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End9.3
Second
3481
#58
19.90.4
20.921.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End2.2
blue by 8.8
6377
#20
28.70.3
27.627.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Third
4192
#49
19.10.4
17.818.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End6.4
red by 5.8
3834
#42
13.20.3
14.013.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed42%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned