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Red49
300527.8
367622.1
406322.6
Blue69
752131.9
557223.9
762114.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837440506070901001104969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
27.82.0
28.926.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
blue by 4.1
31.90.3
31.230.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.1
End6.5
Second
4063
#28
22.62.0
25.723.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End8.2
blue by 1.3
5572
#36
23.90.3
24.223.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
3676
#14
22.12.0
24.122.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
red by 7.6
7621
#55
14.50.3
14.814.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed