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Red85
727115.6
331035.0
717928.4
Blue86
697417.5
129620.2
62428.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8168405060901001108586

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.2
33.934.1
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End7.5
red by 6.4
624
#10
28.60.6
27.828.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Second
7179
#19
28.40.2
27.227.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.3
red by 8.2
1296
#44
20.20.6
19.620.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Third
7271
#63
15.60.2
15.415.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.1
blue by 1.9
6974
#59
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
46%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned