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Red72
383413.2
258222.7
717928.4
Blue79
505218.1
300527.8
271421.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6664304050607080901007279

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#19
28.40.6
26.627.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.3
red by 0.6
3005
#18
27.81.0
25.526.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
22.70.6
23.524.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End8.2
red by 1.0
2714
#54
21.71.0
21.022.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End4.3
Third
3834
#42
13.20.6
12.413.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.3
blue by 4.8
5052
#24
18.11.0
14.015.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned