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Red68
542718.0
697417.5
300527.8
Blue51
373519.3
787212.5
631518.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6649204060806851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
27.80.2
27.027.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
red by 8.4
3735
#57
19.30.3
17.718.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Second
5427
#45
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Level
6315
#39
18.10.3
17.818.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.1
Third
6974
#59
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 5.0
7872
#62
12.50.3
10.410.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed