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Red69
288121.6
770814.4
637728.7
Blue85
11832.9
708816.4
505218.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62653040507080901006985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#20
28.70.7
25.225.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End7.4
blue by 4.2
118
#2
32.90.7
34.735.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End9.3
Second
2881
#47
21.60.7
21.922.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End5.5
red by 3.5
5052
#24
18.10.7
15.416.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
7708
#50
14.40.7
11.512.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 2.0
7088
#30
16.40.7
11.912.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed27%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned