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Red82
246830.6
708816.4
690121.8
Blue51
717928.4
787212.5
762114.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6756204060801008251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.0
30.331.3
Auto3.4
Teleop20.6
End6.5
red by 2.3
7179
#19
28.40.1
28.027.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.3
Second
6901
#38
21.81.0
20.821.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.2
End2.8
red by 7.2
7621
#55
14.50.1
14.614.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Third
7088
#30
16.41.0
12.613.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End5.7
red by 3.9
7872
#62
12.50.1
10.410.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed