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Red74
429519.2
749221.1
415321.3
Blue71
300527.8
348119.9
727115.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60663040507080901007471

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#31
21.31.1
19.620.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End4.7
blue by 6.5
3005
#18
27.80.5
27.728.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
7492
#17
21.11.1
18.819.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End7.0
red by 1.2
3481
#58
19.90.5
20.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Third
4295
#48
19.21.1
18.820.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End5.4
red by 3.6
7271
#63
15.60.5
14.915.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed