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Red74
437818.5
770814.4
246830.6
Blue63
348119.9
324019.1
787212.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63502040801007463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.0
31.332.3
Auto3.4
Teleop20.6
End6.5
red by 10.7
3481
#58
19.91.1
20.821.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
4378
#35
18.51.0
16.017.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 0.7
3240
#25
19.11.1
16.017.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Third
7708
#50
14.41.0
12.213.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 1.8
7872
#62
12.51.1
10.211.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed