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Red35
129620.2
348119.9
215819.3
Blue52
288121.6
542718.0
731216.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801003552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#44
20.21.5
21.119.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End4.5
blue by 1.4
2881
#47
21.60.0
19.919.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End5.5
Second
3481
#58
19.91.5
19.417.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End2.2
red by 1.8
5427
#45
18.00.0
16.716.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
2158
#26
19.31.5
17.015.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.2
red by 2.5
7312
#60
16.80.0
15.615.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed