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Red56
303524.1
731216.8
697417.5
Blue74
415321.3
246830.6
762114.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617240801005674

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#46
24.10.8
22.521.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End5.9
blue by 6.5
30.60.2
32.032.2
Auto3.4
Teleop20.6
End6.5
Second
6974
#59
17.50.8
17.716.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 3.8
4153
#31
21.30.2
22.122.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End4.7
Third
7312
#60
16.80.8
18.017.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End5.2
red by 2.3
7621
#55
14.50.2
14.414.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned