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Red44
83223.4
563215.3
63256.4
Blue14
682919.2
58489.6
749910.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473902060804414

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#1
23.40.0
17.617.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End9.4
red by 4.2
6829
#13
19.22.6
15.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
5632
#14
15.30.0
13.313.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 4.9
7499
#22
10.45.3
12.87.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.6
Third
6325
#24
6.40.0
13.213.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 3.3
5848
#27DQ
9.62.6
11.18.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed