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Red41
424010.8
399817.7
749910.4
Blue30
63256.4
332916.4
473011.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3240102050604130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.7
15.316.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 1.3
3329
#11
16.40.5
15.915.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
Second
4240
#18
10.80.7
10.010.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 0.6
4730
#23
11.40.9
10.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
7499
#22
10.41.2
5.36.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.6
red by 4.0
6325
#24
6.40.9
11.911.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed