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Red49
399817.7
363519.1
731514.5
Blue45
67509.3
470118.5
58287.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503910203060704945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#10
19.10.2
16.516.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End4.0
red by 0.5
18.50.4
19.019.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Second
17.70.1
16.416.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 8.4
6750
#15
9.30.4
10.210.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
14.50.2
14.414.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 7.5
5828
#29
7.10.5
7.58.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed