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Red41
424010.8
473011.4
83223.4
Blue32
58287.1
573411.5
100219.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442810204050604132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#1
23.40.1
20.720.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End9.4
red by 3.6
1002
#12
19.80.4
14.615.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Second
4730
#23
11.40.1
10.110.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Level
11.50.4
6.77.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Third
4240
#18
10.80.1
11.311.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
red by 3.7
5828
#29
7.10.6
5.05.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed