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Red50
749910.4
83223.4
731514.5
Blue36
41937.5
168317.3
424010.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4340102030506070805036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#1
23.40.6
21.722.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End9.4
red by 6.1
1683
#19
17.30.1
17.116.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Second
14.51.1
12.713.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 3.8
4240
#18
10.80.1
12.011.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Third
7499
#22
10.41.0
5.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.6
red by 2.9
4193
#26
7.50.2
9.18.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed