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Red36
424010.8
24158.3
647118.3
Blue57
584016.1
70769.0
83223.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424820306070803657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.6
19.018.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End8.8
blue by 5.1
832
#1
23.40.6
21.622.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End9.4
Second
4240
#18
10.80.6
11.610.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 5.3
16.10.6
15.516.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Third
2415
#30
8.30.7
9.18.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 0.6
7076
#21
9.00.6
8.49.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsEarned