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Red50
474915.0
529316.1
682920.2
Blue60
445918.3
742716.0
131123.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56512040801005060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#28
20.20.2
20.520.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 2.9
1311
#10
23.10.6
18.018.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
5293
#43
16.10.2
15.615.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 2.2
4459
#29
18.30.6
17.618.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
Third
4749
#40
15.00.2
17.317.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 1.0
7427
#30
16.00.6
13.113.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed