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Red61
358119.5
510928.0
399819.9
Blue57
418816.8
363525.2
529316.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646140507080906157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
25.325.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 2.8
25.20.3
23.623.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Second
3998
#24
19.90.2
18.218.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
red by 3.0
4188
#38
16.80.3
19.619.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Third
3581
#17
19.50.2
17.617.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End5.0
red by 3.3
5293
#43
16.10.3
15.014.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed