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Red61
533215.6
494123.1
126123.7
Blue58
584020.9
745121.7
100216.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6261405070806158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#20
23.70.2
19.719.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.4
red by 2.0
7451
#35
21.70.0
17.117.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
4941
#27
23.10.2
23.723.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 2.2
5840
#45
20.90.0
21.021.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
5332
#26
15.60.2
14.614.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 1.1
1002
#37
16.70.0
20.320.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed