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Red68
168325.8
533215.6
745121.7
Blue55
164818.1
565117.9
682920.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58602040801006855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.7
23.123.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End4.2
red by 5.7
6829
#28
20.20.1
20.120.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Second
7451
#35
21.70.7
17.017.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End4.3
red by 3.5
1648
#23
18.10.1
16.416.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
5332
#26
15.60.7
14.815.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 2.4
5651
#44
17.90.1
20.620.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed