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Red59
529316.1
131123.1
494123.1
Blue30
749912.8
418816.8
670515.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615130407080905930

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#27
23.10.1
23.924.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 6.2
4188
#38
16.81.2
19.418.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
1311
#10
23.10.1
19.319.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 7.7
6705
#36
15.41.2
15.714.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
5293
#43
16.10.1
14.714.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 3.3
7499
#39
12.81.2
12.811.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed