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Red44
402622.3
358119.5
332916.6
Blue70
634113.7
445918.3
126123.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605530405070804470

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.9
22.221.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End8.8
blue by 1.4
1261
#20
23.71.0
20.221.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.4
Second
3581
#17
19.50.9
17.917.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End5.0
red by 1.1
4459
#29
18.31.0
18.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
Third
3329
#22
16.60.9
17.016.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End4.6
red by 2.9
6341
#21
13.71.0
13.414.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned6%HAB Docking oddsEarned