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Red64
590016.7
131123.1
533215.6
Blue80
788315.2
297431.0
634020.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52692030406080901006480

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#10
23.11.0
19.420.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 7.9
31.00.6
29.229.7
Auto3.5
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
5900
#25
16.71.0
14.315.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End5.5
blue by 3.9
6340
#16
20.50.6
21.121.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End2.9
Third
5332
#26
15.61.0
15.416.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 0.4
7883
#18
15.20.6
15.215.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed25%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed