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Red66
241514.2
691920.5
494123.1
Blue55
411220.7
358119.5
141421.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60662040801006655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#27
23.10.6
23.824.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 2.1
1414
#15
21.00.5
26.626.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Second
6919
#11
20.50.6
20.521.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 0.2
4112
#31
20.70.5
19.118.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.7
Third
2415
#19
14.20.6
12.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
blue by 5.2
3581
#17
19.50.5
17.016.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned