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Red85
126123.7
100216.7
363525.2
Blue54
446815.5
131123.1
470118.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716040801008554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.7
25.825.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
red by 2.1
1311
#10
23.10.2
20.420.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
1261
#20
23.70.7
21.220.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.4
red by 5.6
4701
#42
18.10.2
20.420.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Third
1002
#37
16.70.7
20.219.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 1.2
4468
#33
15.50.2
16.115.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed