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Red60
682920.2
788315.2
533215.6
Blue78
634113.7
494123.1
177127.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577140801006078

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#28
20.20.3
20.420.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 7.8
27.90.1
28.428.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.8
End8.6
Second
5332
#26
15.60.3
16.916.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 7.5
4941
#27
23.10.1
24.424.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
7883
#18
15.20.3
17.016.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
red by 1.4
6341
#21
13.70.1
14.214.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsEarned