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Red46
742716.0
529316.1
565117.9
Blue52
788315.2
470118.1
332916.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565640506070804652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5651
#44
17.90.5
19.118.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 0.1
4701
#42
18.10.3
19.018.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Second
5293
#43
16.10.5
16.616.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 0.5
3329
#22
16.60.3
17.717.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End4.6
Third
7427
#30
16.00.5
17.116.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End4.3
red by 0.9
7883
#18
15.20.3
16.616.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed