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Red54
491032.6
745121.7
446815.5
Blue44
241514.2
474915.0
749912.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644620304050607080905444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.8
29.428.6
Auto3.6
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 17.5
4749
#40
15.00.0
17.117.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.0
Second
7451
#35
21.70.8
16.615.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End4.3
red by 7.4
2415
#19
14.20.0
14.114.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
Third
4468
#33
15.50.8
14.513.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End2.9
red by 2.7
7499
#39
12.80.0
12.612.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed