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Red57
363523.0
451613.8
334411.9
Blue64
507410.5
494121.7
491029.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456230405070805764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.8
20.521.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
blue by 6.2
29.20.4
26.727.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End9.5
Second
4516
#14
13.80.8
10.611.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 7.9
21.70.4
22.623.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
Third
3344
#27
11.90.8
11.111.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End2.1
red by 1.3
5074
#15
10.50.4
9.19.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned