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Red53
110224.7
584020.8
30917.0
Blue72
533213.9
402623.0
692513.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535250556065705372

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
26.026.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.5
red by 1.7
23.00.7
23.324.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End8.4
Second
20.80.2
16.716.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 7.0
5332
#26
13.90.7
13.213.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
3091
#28
7.00.2
7.07.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 6.1
6925
#21
13.10.7
13.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned