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Red58
297428.8
179511.6
419510.5
Blue45
402623.0
164813.3
747010.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475330405060705845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.9
25.926.8
Auto3.3
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 5.9
23.01.0
24.923.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End8.4
Second
1795
#17
11.60.9
8.59.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 1.7
1648
#24
13.31.0
13.512.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
4195
#18
10.50.9
10.311.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End3.0
red by 0.3
7470
#22
10.21.0
12.111.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsMissed