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Red60
52196.3
494121.7
418821.5
Blue66
491029.2
788314.7
179511.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515430406070806066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
24.724.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End2.4
blue by 7.5
29.20.8
27.428.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End9.5
Second
4188
#13
21.50.1
20.420.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End4.0
red by 6.8
14.70.8
14.515.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Third
5219
#31
6.30.1
3.53.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 5.3
1795
#17
11.60.8
9.410.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned