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Red44
691012.4
363523.0
164813.3
Blue43
334411.9
634019.0
590013.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4547304050604443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
22.022.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
red by 4.0
6340
#19
19.00.1
19.919.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End3.2
Second
1648
#24
13.30.1
12.412.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5900
#29
13.50.1
11.311.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.6
Third
6910
#11
12.40.1
8.58.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End2.4
red by 0.5
3344
#27
11.90.1
13.013.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed