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Red25
58285.6
41938.3
402623.0
Blue46
584020.8
692513.1
749912.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424420305060702546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.0
23.922.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End8.4
red by 2.1
20.80.3
18.618.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Second
4193
#25
8.31.0
8.27.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.9
blue by 4.9
6925
#21
13.10.3
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Third
5828
#35
5.61.0
7.46.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 6.5
7499
#12
12.00.3
9.39.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed