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Red76
584020.8
297428.8
747010.2
Blue48
473014.5
363523.0
58285.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604320807648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.1
27.228.3
Auto3.3
Teleop21.9
End3.7
red by 5.9
23.00.5
22.022.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
20.81.1
18.920.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 6.3
4730
#30
14.50.5
11.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
7470
#22
10.21.1
10.912.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.5
red by 4.6
5828
#35
5.60.5
6.46.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed