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Red64
110224.7
590013.5
451613.8
Blue50
634019.0
418821.5
692513.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525830407080906450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
27.528.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.5
red by 3.2
4188
#13
21.50.3
20.520.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Second
4516
#14
13.80.8
10.911.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 5.2
6340
#19
19.00.3
19.819.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End3.2
Third
5900
#29
13.50.8
11.211.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.6
red by 0.3
6925
#21
13.10.3
14.514.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed